“For the first time in human history, we’re not going to have access to the night sky the way we’ve seen it,” said Samantha Lawler, an assistant professor of astronomy at the University of Regina in Canada.
Lawler has been watching from his farm in Saskatchewan, Canada, as the number of active satellites has multiplied from around a thousand in 2017 to more than 5,000 today. When CNN visited on a clear night in March, it only took a few minutes of looking up with the naked eye to see the first of many satellites streaking across the sky.
“This is much worse than I expected,” Lawler told CNN. “It’s changing rapidly.”
“Think about it,” Lawler said. “There are only about 4,000 stars that you can see with the naked eye and if 200 of them are moving, that’s very different from the sky we’re used to now.”
“It’s like we’re going through this transition (similar to) when the first cars were on the roads. A Model T would drive down the road and you’d run out and see it,” Lawler said. “But now you live next to a giant freeway, full of cars. That’s kind of a transition that we’re going through with satellites in the night sky right now.”
The positive side of megaconstellations
It is the dawn of the mega-constellations, tens of thousands of small satellites just about 300 miles (483 kilometers) above Earth, launched by private companies to provide global high-speed Internet access.
SpaceX has already launched more than 2,000 satellites with plans to launch at least 42,000 more for its mega-constellation called Starlink. Other distant competitors include Amazon’s Project Kuiper and London-based satellite company OneWeb.
While thousands of small Starlink satellites are problematic for astronomers, they also provide much-needed Internet access for people in rural or war-torn areas of the world.
Oleg Kutkov is a Ukrainian engineer and amateur astronomer who bought a Starlink terminal on Ebay in December to take it apart for fun, not thinking he could actually use it in his apartment in kyiv. But when Russia invaded in February, Elon Musk activated the Starlink service in Ukraine, and Kutkov has been using it as his backup internet service ever since.
“We are getting all the information from the Internet about air strikes, about movements of enemy forces. Should we hide, should we not hide? Can we go out or not?” Kutkov said.
Kutkov said he used to side with astronomers like Lawler in thinking that concerns about Starlink impeding observations of the cosmos outweigh its benefits, but Russia’s invasion is changing his mind.
“I was 100% with the astronomers,” Kutkov said. “But in the current situation, when we really need Internet connectivity, that starts to become more important.”
A key in asteroid detection
For Kutkov and other Ukrainians, Starlink is a lifeline. But NASA is concerned that the second-generation Starlink, which could start launching as early as this month, could one day contribute to ending life on Earth as we know it.
NASA uses ground-based telescopes to search for potentially killer asteroids. In a letter to the FCC in February, NASA stated that it “estimates that there would be a Starlink in every asteroid survey image,” which could have “a detrimental effect on our planet’s ability to detect and possibly redirect a potentially massive impact.” catastrophic”.
“Finding these asteroids long before they can hit Earth is critically important to the survival of our species,” Lawler said.
“We strongly believe in the importance of a natural night sky for all to enjoy, which is why we’ve been working with leading astronomers around the world,” the statement read, and SpaceX has made changes by “adding a drop-down visor to the satellite to prevent sunlight from hitting the brightest parts of the spacecraft.
But astronomers like Lawler say those changes aren’t enough. As of now, there are no binding international rules governing mega-constellations, and SpaceX isn’t waiting for regulators to catch up. It is launching, on average, about 50 new Starlink satellites every week.
“We’re already seeing so many satellites right now,” Lawler said. “And it’s about to be 10 times as many.”