The Annual Disaster Fake News Story – Watts Up With That?

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

It’s Whack-A-Mole time!

A disaster-weary globe will be hit harder in the coming years by even more catastrophes colliding in an interconnected world, a United Nations report issued Monday says.

If current trends continue the world will go from around 400 disasters per year in 2015 to an onslaught of about 560 catastrophes a year by 2030, the scientific report by the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction said. By comparison from 1970 to 2000, the world suffered just 90 to 100 medium to large scale disasters a year, the report said.

The number of extreme heat waves in 2030 will be three times what it was in 2001 and there will be 30% more droughts, the report predicted. It’s not just natural disasters amplified by climate changeit’s COVID-19, economic meltdowns and food shortages. Climate change has a huge footprint in the number of disasters, report authors said.

https://apnews.com/article/climate-science-united-nations-natural-disasters-fa1d16ad7d59c7629bb1a9a955a494b0

The UN report referred to is utterly fraudulent. Below is the key chart from the UN Press Release:

https://www.undrr.org/gar2022-our-world-risk#container-downloads

They claim an increasing trend since the 1970s, when miraculously it seems there were hardly any disasters at all!

In fact, the table from the actual report makes it clear that the number of disasters has in reality been declining since 2000, a fact which makes a nonsense of the projected rise of 40% by 2030:

https://www.undrr.org/media/79595/download

But why the rapid increase since 1970?

We have been down this road before. The data comes from EM-DAT the International Disaster Database. They only began publishing data in 1998, and in 2004 warned that earlier data was incomplete:

http://web.archive.org/web/20210906114530/https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2018/09/07/the-international-disaster-database/

In other words, most disasters were simply never officially recorded prior to 2000. To put it into some sort of perspective, EM-DAT defines a disaster below:

https://www.emdat.be/sites/default/files/whats%20new/wn_disastersinnumbers_2021.png

How many disasters would have been officially logged by the UN or any international body fifty years ago, when the threshold was so low? Indeed many much bigger disasters don’t appear in EM-DAT in those early years, such as the Red River Delta flood in Vietnam, which killed an estimate 100,000 people in 1971:

https://worldhistoryproject.org/1971/8/1/red-river-delta-flood-of-1971

Yet EM-DAT ignore this flood entirely:

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