Twistin’ with Gallup’s Extreme Weather Poll – Watts Up With That?

Kip Hansen Opinion – April 9, 2022

I was at a dinner dance recently and the dance floor was mostly empty with two exceptions: when the music was Latin American (like bachata) or when, miracle of miracles, Chubby Checker and his band invited us to “Let’s Twist Again” which it resulted in a dance floor so packed we could barely turn around on the spot.

The turn? Yes, it is still a very popular dance and also a very popular journalistic approach to all kinds of news, especially with the results of national polls.

The latest example, of which there is never a shortage or drought, is the Gallup Poll on Climate Change and Extreme Weather. The linked .pdf file only provides the questions and answers for questions 14-27 of a larger survey: “Moving on to something else, 14. I’m going to read you a list of environmental issues…”.

The poll is touted by the NY Times as:

“A third of Americans faced extreme weather conditions in recent years, according to a survey: Hurricanes and winter weather, such as snow, ice storms and blizzards, were the most commonly cited events, according to a Gallup poll.

Gallup himself says: “Extreme weather has affected one in three Americans.” Despite the weird Chubby Checker-esque text in Gallup, at least they correctly placed the linked report in their “Politics” section.

What did you find? Actually, they found that one in three had been affected by a climate they did not like. He would have thought it would be higher than that, since Americans always complain about too much or too little: rain, sun, heat, breeze, snow, and other weather phenomena. Some of that weather could be considered “extreme” only if one means significantly more or less than is normally experienced from day to day, season to season, or year to year.

What kind of “extreme weather”? Since global warming has taken hold of the public imagination (43% of respondents reported that they are very concerned about climate change, compared to 46% in 2020), the weather has gotten colder and colder. winter is getting snowier.

Thus, 12% of all Americans and 36% of those affected by extreme weather reported that they had been affected by these two types of extreme weather: Extremely cold Y Snow/Ice/Blizzard Storm.

Only 5% of Americans reported being affected by Extreme heat.

Now hurricanes Y tornadoes they are extreme weather events and affect 6% and 4% of Americans respectively. There were only two hurricanes and only one of them was a major hurricane that made landfall in the continental US, Major Hurricane Ida, which caused a lot of damage on the Louisiana Gulf Coast. Hurricane Nicholas was a tropical storm until moments before/after landfall and barely reached hurricane status. In addition, 5% of Americans were affected by the not weather related (but included in Gallup total) fire or forest fire Y tremors.

One more oddity, Gallup “adjusts” for gender, race, age, education, party identification, and ideology. However, the numbers he uses for the “Totals” in the extreme weather question are the weight-adjusted numbers from the party ID columns.

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The clearest result from the Gallup poll is that the media, including both broadcast and broadcast weather channels, have been largely successful in convincing the population that the weather is getting worse and that we are seeing more and more extreme weather. despite objective evidence to the contrary. .

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Author Comment:

Extreme weather is a marketing meme developed by weather broadcasters to increase interest, audience, and market share. You know who they are.

IPPCists use Extreme weather to try to scare the population into accepting the energy policy dictated by the UN IPCC and to bring about draconian social and political changes.

Time is time. Sometimes it’s wild, always has been, always will be.

Polls are political, always, always have been, always will be.

Thank you for reading.

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